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19 Aug 2024

New Zealand Dollar extends upside amid softer US Dollar, rising Fed rate cut expectations

Technical Analysis: New Zealand Dollar’s uptrend is likely to resume

The New Zealand Dollar trades on a stronger note on the day. The NZD/USD pair seems set to close above the key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and descending trendline on the daily chart. If the pair decisively closes above this level, it will resume the uptrend. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) points higher above the midline near 56.60, the potential for further upside.

The immediate resistance levels to watch are the 0.6085-0.6090 zone, representing the high of August 14 and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. Sustained trading above this level could see a rally to 0.6154, the high of July 8. The next barrier is seen at 0.6222, the high of June 12. 

On the other hand, the confluence of the 100-day EMA and descending trendline of 0.6048 acts as an initial support level for NZD/USD. The additional downside filter to watch is 0.5974, the low of August 15. Any follow-through selling will see a drop to 0.5853, the lower limit of the Bollinger Band.


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